Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.537405 4.079571 4.673453 5.371785 6.170004 7.053477 8.105058
2025-02-02 2.966373 3.722765 4.619421 5.758827 7.166317 8.846163 11.001557
2025-02-09 2.452194 3.313995 4.408527 5.896321 7.861538 10.363876 13.787303
2025-02-16 2.050611 2.961573 4.192092 5.968114 8.457453 11.813158 16.669870
2025-02-23 1.680172 2.578707 3.862683 5.819731 8.714130 12.821557 19.074327
2025-03-02 1.364919 2.215969 3.496807 5.549331 8.737714 13.479046 21.035565
2025-03-09 1.186926 2.028174 3.355290 5.580599 9.193869 14.797656 24.103240
2025-03-16 1.008839 1.809457 3.129908 5.440608 9.351683 15.660461 26.545915
2025-03-23 0.941834 1.764757 3.177411 5.746009 10.258206 17.796224 31.253596
2025-03-30 0.865157 1.690126 3.161285 5.935375 10.983067 19.699324 35.767834
2025-04-06 0.774390 1.575180 3.056786 5.950326 11.396518 21.104009 39.558110
2025-04-13 0.657911 1.393179 2.804248 5.657535 11.210555 21.422853 41.432177
2025-04-20 0.615385 1.354336 2.822964 5.892801 12.060372 23.744490 47.302239
2025-04-27 0.593959 1.355919 2.921321 6.297716 13.287797 26.905061 55.108385
2025-05-04 0.547985 1.297971 2.891010 6.436898 14.001694 29.155234 61.392636
2025-05-11 0.501325 1.231147 2.832724 6.508806 14.583973 31.203801 67.490745
2025-05-18 0.441800 1.125254 2.675121 6.344010 14.642985 32.192207 71.514622
2025-05-25 0.381103 1.006535 2.471828 6.048261 14.375896 32.462460 74.036928
2025-06-01 0.349559 0.954562 2.415061 6.081119 14.846518 34.353374 80.247277
2025-06-08 0.310525 0.877191 2.287252 5.928432 14.870040 35.263129 84.376407
2025-06-15 0.302265 0.879597 2.354823 6.259740 16.074898 38.943054 95.146439
2025-06-22 0.287708 0.862621 2.371318 6.465140 16.997596 42.065392 104.934548
2025-06-29 0.265369 0.820316 2.316751 6.481243 17.452308 44.134852 112.440854